Image source: "Former Vice President of the United States Joe Biden" by Gage Skidmore is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Biden scored remarkable wins in the Democratic presidential primaries in Florida, Illinois and Arizona last Tuesday, which made him the Democratic party's de facto candidate for the upcoming elections in November. In a dramatic change of pace, Biden surpassed Senator Bernie Sanders, who just a month ago seemed to be at arm's length from securing the nomination for himself.
At the present moment, Biden holds 1201 delegates’ votes and Sanders, who refuses to step down despite mounting pressures from co-party members, holds only 896. A total of 1991 delegates is needed for any candidate to win the party’s nomination and enter the race for the Oval Office in November.
The headwinds for Biden's campaign, however, are still very strong, and he might have to end up fighting on two fronts. Bernie Sanders' refusal to withdraw from the race for the Democratic nomination at present means that Joe Biden is going to have a difficult time consolidating the party.
The longer it takes for the Democratic race to be concluded, the less time the winner is going to have to find the necessary support for the upcoming presidential election. This means less time for carrying out fundraisers – something that is essential for a competitive campaign – and less time for establishing a comprehensive agenda.
Joe Biden recently attempted to win over some of Bernie Sanders’ supporters after his win in Michigan. Chiefly, Biden focused on winning over the sympathies of young voters as his popularity amongst this demographic remains very low.
“To the young voters who have been inspired by Senator Sanders, I hear you, I know what’s at stake, I know what we have to do. Our goal as a campaign and my goal as a candidate for president is to unify this party and then to unify the nation.“
And while the Vice President under the Obama Administration is still struggling to consolidate the troops on his own front, Donald Trump and the GOP have opened a concentrated barrage on social media aimed at Biden.
Biden and Bernie are "both heading toward the socialist cliff, just in different vehicles. Bernie’s is a red Ferrari, while Joe’s is more like a red bus with 'No Malarkey' on the side. Same road, same cliff. Different speeds." https://t.co/7p88yFhiOv
— Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) March 22, 2020
The 45th president of the US does not face the same constraints as Biden does, and he is free to rally the Republicans and focus entirely on Biden. And since the beginning of last week, it looks increasingly as though the coronavirus’ outbreak in the states is going to be the next battlefront for the two.
Unsurprisingly, Biden has criticised the way Trump initially responded to the situation and is currently managing it. Biden has also used social media to propagate his plans and views on the issue, as well as to stress on what he would have done if he were the president.
Donald Trump has failed the American people. pic.twitter.com/HsNl9M4h4r
— Joe Biden (Text Join to 30330) (@JoeBiden) March 21, 2020
Regardless, such attempts to smear the president’s image are not going to be enough to win the White House for the aviator shades wearing and ice cream loving Joe Biden. Using slanderous remarks and tainting reputations is a strategy in which Donald Trump excels at, and Biden’s cool and levelheaded persona may also fall victim to Trump’s incessant attacks on social media.
The way the two approach the COVID-19 outbreak from here on out is going to be pivotal for the upcoming November election. And while Biden has so far been content with criticising the president’s approach, Trump has undergone a drastic change in his stance on the whole issue.
Initially, he was downplaying the threat from the coronavirus on the US economy and the American public, for which his political opponents are now castigating him. However, over the past several days he has been much more vocal on matters of public health risks, and has started referring to the pathogen as the “Chinese virus”.
While many commentators have slammed his rhetoric as being bigoted and racist, Trump’s stance on the topic is a well-calculated manoeuvre aimed at shifting the public’s focus. By labelling it a Chinese virus, Trump is likely hoping to indirectly shift the blame for the global pandemic on Xi Jinping’s government, and in doing so to negate some of the criticisms for his delayed response, he feels at home.
All of this is disadvantaging Joe Biden at present because his message on the coronavirus is being sidelined by the verbal shots between Washington and Beijing. If he wants to stand a real chance of becoming the 46th in November, Biden is going to have to adopt a much more daring approach and do not let the momentum from his recent wins in Michigan and Florida evaporate.
Biden’s relatable and collected demeanour is in stark contrast to Trump’s frequently erratic and unpredictable changes of opinions on important questions, which is an advantage that can be exploited by Biden. He could stress on the importance of the monumental task ahead for the US in stabilising the economy after the COVID-19 pandemic is dealt with.
The markets have been spooked by the sheer scope and size of the coronavirus fallout, the massive blow from which was seemingly delivered in an instant. Adverse volatility continues to persist, and all of the major US indices are undergoing through a stretch of massive fluctuations in their underlying prices.
So far, Donald Trump’s promises and hints at the resilience of the economy have done little to calm the markets, and most of the stock gains that were generated since Trump’s inauguration have now been wiped out.
This is an opportunity for Biden to present himself as the necessary alternative to Trump's jarring persona. The ice cream loving and aviator shades wearing Biden might turn out to be the needed antidote for the persisting disarray in the market.
However, he would have a difficult time ahead if he were to instead base his campaign solely on criticising the president. Biden is going to struggle in beating Trump at his own game.
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