A combination of factors, including Trump-era tariffs, the emergence of DeepSeek, and a slowdown in GDP growth, has contributed to the recent pullback in the US30 from its record highs. From a technical standpoint, a Double Top pattern has formed around the 45,000 level—a well-known bearish signal indicating potential further downside movement. A shift in momentum is now evident, and the current dip could extend lower. This outlook is reinforced by the presence of a Death Cross, another historically significant bearish indicator.
To gauge potential support levels, we apply Fibonacci retracement analysis, which suggests that the correction may find a floor near the 43,700 mark. This level coincides with the 38% Fibonacci retracement—a crucial technical zone that has historically provided strong support. With sellers currently in control, a drop below this level is not out of the question. However, we view this area as a potential re-entry point for long positions, aligning with the prevailing broader uptrend. Entering at these lower levels allows us to capitalize on the market’s recovery while optimizing the risk-to-reward ratio.
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