Natural Gas has surged over 110% since August, reaching a peak of $4.18. While it remains a highly volatile commodity with frequent price swings, a clear support zone has formed between $3.00 and $3.20. However, since last week, NGAS has corrected by more than 20%, dropping below the crucial 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. The RSI has moved into neutral territory, but the decrease in trading volumes indicates that further downside is possible.
As the stock market rises and investors focus on equities, this could trigger a short-term sell-off in Natural Gas. This theory is reinforced by the fact that commercial traders have already built up their reserves ahead of the winter season, which drove buying activity in August, September, and November.
Given these factors, we anticipate that NGAS may continue its downward correction, potentially revisiting the $3.00 zone. This level not only acted as resistance in the past but also aligns with the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. If this support holds, it could provide a base for a potential rebound later on.
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