Analysis

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DJI
Apr 3, 2025, 11:15 AM GMT
#Indices

DJI: Could the Dow Jones Drop Another 2000 Points?

We’re analyzing the weekly chart to grasp the broader market trend. Over the past three years, the US30 index has surged by 17,000 points, often resembling a nearly straight upward trajectory. However, multiple technical and fundamental factors now suggest a potential downward correction.

From a fundamental standpoint, increasing tariffs imposed by the U.S. administration are fueling investor uncertainty, prompting a market sell-off. The prevailing risk-off sentiment is pushing investors away from stocks and into traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen and Gold.

From a technical perspective, the US30 has formed a double top pattern, a classic bearish signal. Additionally, the 23% Fibonacci retracement level, which initially acted as support, has failed, with prices now breaking below.

Given this setup, we are initiating a direct sell order at 41,000, with a stop-loss (SL) 2% above this level. Our take-profit (TP) target is set at 39,000, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which historically serves as strong support.

This strategic positioning reflects the heightened volatility and the likelihood of a further market decline in the short to mid-term.

Profit & Loss
Short Term Long Term Net % Gains
+ - + -
0 2000.00 USD 0 0
4.90%
Short Term
+ -
0 2000.00 USD
Long Term
+ -
0 0
Net % Gains
4.90%

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