SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA: Reserve Bank of Australia building name on black stone wall in the center of Sydney NSW Australia. Image source: ©Eyeofpaul © 123RF.com
At its April policy meeting, the Governing Board of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expectedly decided to maintain the near-negative Cash Rate unchanged at 0.10 per cent.
The rate of asset purchases was not scaled up, even though the Board is prepared for continuously subdued 'wages and price pressures. Overall, the RBA has observed a stronger-than-initially-projected pace of economic recovery, but inflation remains moderately below the Bank's 2.0 per cent target.
Australia Inflation Rate. Image source: TradingEconomics.com
Unlike the situation in the U.S., where the Federal Reserve has to cope with soaring prices, the RBA expects the Australian economy to remain "operating with a considerable spare capacity". Phillip Lowe, Governor of the RBA, had this to say about it:
"The economic recovery in Australia is well under way and is stronger than had been expected. The unemployment rate fell to 5.8 per cent in February and the number of people with a job has returned to the pre-pandemic level. […] It will take some time to reduce this spare capacity and for the labour market to be tight enough to generate wage increases that are consistent with achieving the inflation target."
The strong rebound in Australian activity is partly due to a global economic pickup, inspired by the considerable fiscal support in the U.S. Though the pace of the ongoing global recovery remains patchy and uneven, the underlining prospects are improving as the vaccine rollout continues.
Meanwhile, the Australian dollar's temporary stabilisation appears more or less over given the strengthening U.S. dollar. As can be seen on the 4H chart below, the AUDUSD has completed an intermediate bullish correction.
This can be inferred from the fact that the price action has reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, all the while it has been consolidating just below the 100-day MA (in blue).
Unless it manages to decisively break out above the channel in the very near future, the AUDUSD is very likely to establish yet another bearish reversal. This would then likely be followed by another dropdown towards the first target level - the major support at 0.76000.
AUDUSD 1D Price Chart. Image source: Trendsharks ©, created with TradingView.com
Gold is undergoing a correction, as investors take profits to offset losses from falling stock prices, impacting their margins. However, we anticipate a renewed wave of [...]
The Swiss stock market index is mirroring its global counterparts, such as Germany 40 and US100, experiencing a sharp decline following the announcement of new [...]
We’re analyzing the weekly chart to grasp the broader market trend. Over the past three years, the US30 index has surged by 17,000 points, often resembling a nearly straight [...]
Over the past week, the DAX has experienced a sharp decline, plunging by an astonishing 3,400 points. This downward movement is not isolated, as its international counterparts, such as the UK100 and US100, are also facing significant [...]
EURUSD recently formed a double top at 1.0930, signaling a potential trend reversal, and has since begun a correction. After a 600-pip rally since early March, a pullback at this stage is both expected and healthy. Given these conditions, we are placing a [...]
Since early March, EURJPY has surged nearly 1,000 pips, providing us with several excellent trading opportunities. However, as the rally matures, many early buyers are beginning to take profits, leading to a noticeable slowdown in the uptrend. On Friday, the pair formed a [...]
The AUDJPY currency pair continues to be dominated by bullish momentum, as multiple golden cross patterns reaffirm the strength of the ongoing uptrend. Despite this, we are witnessing a much-needed [...]
The EURAUD currency pair appears to be undergoing a trend reversal, signaling a potential shift in market direction. A notable technical development is the formation of a Death Cross on the chart, a widely recognized bearish indicator that typically suggests a [...]
After securing an impressive 200-pip profit last week, the EURJPY currency pair is now undergoing a southward correction, retracing some of its recent gains. Despite this temporary pullback, the Golden Cross remains intact, reinforcing our view that the overall trend continues to be [...]
The appearance of a Golden Cross in Silver strengthens our analysis that the metal is currently in a strong uptrend, indicating further bullish momentum in the market. This technical pattern, where the short-term moving average crosses above the [...]
This trade presents a considerable level of risk and can be classified as an opportunistic move based on recent price action. The GBPUSD currency pair has experienced a substantial bullish rally, surging by nearly 500 pips in a strong upward movement. However, after this extended period of appreciation, the pair is showing signs of a potential [...]
The anticipated Death Cross on the SMI20 appears to be failing as price finds strong support at the 23% Fibonacci retracement level. After testing this area, the index has shown bullish strength, printing several large green candles, signaling an increase in [...]
A Golden Cross has just appeared on the USDJPY chart, signaling a potential bullish move. This technical pattern occurs when the 20 period moving average crosses above the 60 period moving average, a widely recognized indication of increasing [...]
After 2 months of a down trend, we finally see some indications of price recovery for Oil. The golden cross, a historic buy signal, supports this [...]
For the past month, the German DAX40 has experienced a remarkable 10% surge, reflecting strong bullish momentum. Despite ongoing market volatility and frequent pullbacks, every dip continues to attract fresh buyers, reinforcing the [...]
Oil continues its downward trajectory, despite occasional pullbacks. The overall trend remains bearish, reinforced by multiple Death Cross patterns, a classic sell signal indicating further weakness. Adding to this bearish outlook, the critical [...]
Over the past few days, gold has experienced a sharp decline of more than $100. This downturn can be attributed in part to traders securing profits to manage their margins, which are under strain due to the significant drop in major indices. Currently, gold has fallen below the [...]
The NASDAQ 100 index is showing strong bullish momentum, as evidenced by the formation of a Golden Cross on the chart. This classic buy signal occurs when the short moving average crosses above the long term moving average, suggesting that upward momentum is [...]
The EURAUD currency pair has encountered a significant resistance level, failing to break above the critical 61% Fibonacci retracement level. This suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, reinforcing the case for a potential downward move. Given this technical setup, we favor entering a [...]
The UK100 is experiencing a remarkable rally! Over the past few weeks, the British stock market index has surged nearly 800 points. Each minor dip has attracted more buyers, fueling the bullish momentum. However, since last week, we’ve observed a slight [...]
